Originally Posted by
bae
Just so. My daughter informed me that "online dating is the thing these days".
I live on a small island, with a small population. The popular saying here is "the goods are odd, but the odds are good". Furthermore, my own interests and requirements select out a large portion of any population.
I am trying to decide whether, in the future, if I wish to have a relationship, I will stay here, broaden my geographic search area, or move elsewhere.
So, I signed up a sort-of-anonymous profile on Tinder and Grindr, to examine the online pool within 10-15 miles of me.
And discovered that while there was on each site an active pool of people even in the local area, there were only a handful of folks who were within the quite wide range of age and interests and personality I used for my initial data gathering. Judging purely from their profiles.
Interestingly, men and trans folks on Grindr had the most overlap with my requirements - while it was heavily biased towards within-1-hour hookups, the rest of the folks were looking for more, but not too much more. Even though this island is quite LGBTQ-friendly, it's still a small small community, and people are somewhat circumspect - the "Out On The Island" group has about two dozen people in it.
Judging from our year-round population of perhaps 5000 people, some thoughts:
Our median age is 56.5 years. I'm 55.
55% of the population is married.
Of the single dating pool, between the ages of 40-65, are 52% of the men, and 63% of the women. Interestingly, the data cuts off at age 65, apparently single people past that age are assumed to be sexless/relationshipless.
Now to brass tacks:
~35% of the population is between 40 and 65. 52% is over 65.
If I limit my analysis to 40-65, then there are 1750 men and women within that range here.
I don't have per-age-cadre data on marriage rates, so assume it's 50% within this range. Eyeballing the proportions in the data I have on the proportion of the single population within each age cadre, that seems reasonable. That leaves 875 single people within the "appropriate" age range.
Hmmm - that doesn't seem *too* terrible.
But if one then applies filters for interests, tolerance, and so on, I suspect 90% of folks get ruled out. (This is just a wild-assed guess,)
Still, ~88 people in the dating pool here, assuming I don't care about gender/orientation.