Desantis is kind of the worst of both worlds. He’s playing hard to the party’s maga base but the maga base won’t be happy if he knocks trump off his altar. He also simply doesn’t have as much charisma. And in the mud slinging match of seeing who can be the meanest, most vindictive asshole that is going to be the Republican primary it’s simply not possible that he can out trump trump. Not to mention that he won’t be the only person competing against trump. And just like in 2016 all the non-trumps will dilute each other and trump will get 35-40% of the vote. Baring death or imprisonment I expect trump will be the nominee.