Let the deportations begin?

[Alan]

Probably up for debate, but my quick look says that Trump has not deported many more than the same time as Biden in his last year in office. That doesn't count for self-deportation numbers, which are probably impossible to estimate.

I believe there were just over 250,000 deportations in calendar year 2024. With only a few months of 2025 to compare it would appear that there may be as much as 5 times more deportations this year.

It's still a long ways to go and just a dent of the 10 million or so illegals either way.

Yes, it will probably take several decades to deport just the ones who came into the country illegally over the past 4 years.

[Rogar]

Yes, it will probably take several decades to deport just the ones let in over the past 4 years.

I wonder what that number would be. Those let in, minus deportations, as a percentage of 10-15 million. In the last four years. And what the number would be for Trump 1.0 as a comparison.

[Alan]

I wonder what that number would be. Those let in, minus deportations, as a percentage of 10-15 million. In the last four years. And what the number would be for Trump 1.0 as a comparison.

I don't know, although I do recall an ICE estimate of approximately 2.5 million encounters at the border during the first Trump administration and approximately 11 million encounters during the Biden administration. But that's not as granular an answer to your question as it deserves.

[Rogar]

That does seem like a lot. I suppose many came here for work and went back. It seems to me like a lot of those millions have been here for a long time, even before either one.

But since enquiring minds like to know. Your numbers were close. I might not be far off either. I was no great fan of Biden's border policies, but let the cards fall where they may. I still wonder about why they are sending people to the El Salvador prison from hell for a possible lifetime, rather than just deporting them

"The US Department of Homeland Security has estimated there were 11 million illegal migrants living in the US as of January 2022.
It says about a fifth of them arrived in 2010 or later but the majority arrived before this time, some as early as the 1980s."

From BBC Verify

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0jp4xqx2z3o