I would normally agree with the wasted vote theory or the a vote for X is really a vote for Y theory based on an assessment of the desirability of the most likely outcomes. However this year, given that the two most probable outcomes seem equally poisonous, I'm going to vote in such a way that, while it won't prevent the coming vileness will at least register a protest for future reference with the political system.
It's a games-theory problem, a modification of the classic prisoner's dilemma. If we each choose to "cooperate", we can elect someone great, but who "has no chance". If instead we "defect", we end up with the lesser of two evils.
The rational move is to cooperate, but people aren't rational.
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