I've said before media doesn't want accuracy, they are a business, they want to make money. And a close race, regardless of whether it's actually close or not works best for them.Originally Posted by The Storyteller
I've said before media doesn't want accuracy, they are a business, they want to make money. And a close race, regardless of whether it's actually close or not works best for them.
And it also says...
"Unskewed, the data indicates that Mitt Romney would lead 52 percent to 46 percent using more balanced weighting of the sample."
So based on the results, was it skewed? Or not?
And here is the page for the author of that article...
http://www.examiner.com/conservative.../dean-chambers
You really shouldn't let yourself be taken in by these people, Alan.
"There are too many books in the world to read in a single lifetime; you have to draw the line somewhere." --Diane Setterfield, The Thirteenth Tale
I'll admit that the oversampling involved seems to achieve the desired result, without being at all accurate. In retrospect, I'm not sure how anyone could conduct a poll with weighting several points over actual turnout in 2008 and be considered accurate. Actual voter turnout proves that they weren't.
The thing I'm at a loss to explain is voter enthusiasm levels. It surprises me to see that Republican turnout was lower than expected and that Democratic turnout was higher. These are not facts which could have been anticipated in the months leading up to the election.
Regardless, enjoy your gloat while you can. Remember a stopped clock is correct twice a day.
"Things should be made as simple as possible, but not one bit simpler." ~ Albert Einstein
Alan, a poll here or there was definitely wrong (Rsmussin and Gallup, for example), but overall and taken as an aggregate, they were right, all the way through. Especially on the state level. As I mentioned, the polls when taken together were wrong by less than 1%.
So, the whole weighting and oversampling thing was a myth, cooked up by those who did not want to believe what they were hearing and seeing. It is what brought us a shocked campaign and a stunned right wing media.
And a very self satisfied Oklahoma Democrat.
"There are too many books in the world to read in a single lifetime; you have to draw the line somewhere." --Diane Setterfield, The Thirteenth Tale
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/g...-politics.html
Some of them saw Repubs the same as Dems. We shouldn't be surprised.
No, oversampling was a fact. A win does not change that.
"Things should be made as simple as possible, but not one bit simpler." ~ Albert Einstein
If you discount the power of the etch-a-sketch, the Republican candidates really slammed each other during the primaries - and there seemed to be a fairly large "anyone but Romney" contingent early on. Add to that how far to the left Romney slid toward the end going for the moderate vote and I could see how they could have been less energized to get out and vote.
No. Not that I know of. I just had to call it something.
"Back when I was a young boy all my aunts and uncles would poke me in the ribs at weddings saying your next! Your next! They stopped doing all that crap when I started doing it to them... at funerals!"
It wasn't just a win. Once again, the polls were state by state within less than one percentage point of perfect. That means there WAS no oversampling. The sampling was dead on balls accurate.
Sheesh, Alan. No wonder you believe everything those people at Fox tell you.
"There are too many books in the world to read in a single lifetime; you have to draw the line somewhere." --Diane Setterfield, The Thirteenth Tale
I can see that whatever gas you're using to inflate yourself is having a predictable effect.It wasn't just a win. Once again, the polls were state by state within less than one percentage point of perfect. That means there WAS no oversampling. The sampling was dead on balls accurate.
Sheesh, Alan. No wonder you believe everything those people at Fox tell you.
"Things should be made as simple as possible, but not one bit simpler." ~ Albert Einstein
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