I just finished making the statistical model our County will use for figuring out what to do.

I used as much information on infection rates and such as was available as of Sunday evening.

Basic top-level takeaways:

- One week after an initial infection appears in your community, things really speed up. The inflection point is at about day 5/6.

- About 2 weeks after the initial infection appears, assuming things go as they did in China, infections will have reached about 90% of their peak.

- People who get the "just a cold"-level infection take about 2 weeks to be happy again.

- People who get the "super bad flu or worse" infection take 3-6 weeks to be happy again, assuming they live.

Conclusion: 2 months' supply of toilet paper, bacon, and coffee should do you just fine.