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Thread: Conavirus......

  1. #381
    Senior Member Teacher Terry's Avatar
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    IL, really self centered. Ugh!

  2. #382
    Senior Member Tradd's Avatar
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    IL, I saw that, too. Selfish people.

  3. #383
    Senior Member Teacher Terry's Avatar
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    In Italy you can get 3-6 months in jail for violating the quarantine. Trump shook hands with 2 people that now have the virus. His attitude has been very cavalier about it.

  4. #384
    Senior Member razz's Avatar
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    Well, I just checked with my travel insurance about my Alaska cruise in early May. Because there has been a travel advisory ban against cruises in effect until the end of April, I can now cancel the whole trip and am covered both flight and cruise by my travel insurance to the amount that I chose to purchase. It is all good and I am home in comfort.

    A couple has returned from a cruise to Australia/NZ which was to continue to Hong Kong and other parts of Asia. Since the trip to Asia was concelled, they had to purchase return home tickets at a premoim price and other related expenses before they could return home. He is trying to find out how much their insurance will cover of those extra costs.

    Life is interesting these days.
    As Cicero said, “Gratitude is not only the greatest of virtues, but the parent of all the others.”

  5. #385
    Senior Member bae's Avatar
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    I just finished making the statistical model our County will use for figuring out what to do.

    I used as much information on infection rates and such as was available as of Sunday evening.

    Basic top-level takeaways:

    - One week after an initial infection appears in your community, things really speed up. The inflection point is at about day 5/6.

    - About 2 weeks after the initial infection appears, assuming things go as they did in China, infections will have reached about 90% of their peak.

    - People who get the "just a cold"-level infection take about 2 weeks to be happy again.

    - People who get the "super bad flu or worse" infection take 3-6 weeks to be happy again, assuming they live.

    Conclusion: 2 months' supply of toilet paper, bacon, and coffee should do you just fine.

  6. #386
    Senior Member iris lilies's Avatar
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    Bae, good to know. Looks like I can book plane trip for early July. Late May is more sketchy.

  7. #387
    Senior Member bae's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by iris lilies View Post
    Bae, good to know. Looks like I can book plane trip for early July. Late May is more sketchy.
    I have my 35th Princeton Reunion in late May, and I'm really on the fence. Princeton basically has shut down for now - all remote classes, no meetings/gatherings/events, and so on.

    Probably will keep my reservations open for hotels, but I haven't booked my travel yet. Bother.

  8. #388
    Senior Member JaneV2.0's Avatar
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    A reporter on MSNBC mentioned that one of the recommendations was that people 60 and over stay off airplanes for the duration, but that hasn't filtered out of the containment capsule in Washington DC.

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/06/healt...ing/index.html

    "The CDC guidance comes as two top infectious disease experts with ties to the federal government have advised people over 60 and those with underlying health problems to strongly consider avoiding activities that involve large crowds. Dr. William Schaffner, a Vanderbilt University professor and longtime adviser to the CDC, said these two groups should consider avoiding activities such as traveling by airplane, going to movie theaters, attending family events, shopping at crowded malls, and going to religious services."

  9. #389
    Senior Member Rogar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bae View Post
    I just finished making the statistical model our County will use for figuring out what to do.

    I used as much information on infection rates and such as was available as of Sunday evening.

    Basic top-level takeaways:

    - One week after an initial infection appears in your community, things really speed up. The inflection point is at about day 5/6.

    - About 2 weeks after the initial infection appears, assuming things go as they did in China, infections will have reached about 90% of their peak.

    - People who get the "just a cold"-level infection take about 2 weeks to be happy again.

    - People who get the "super bad flu or worse" infection take 3-6 weeks to be happy again, assuming they live.

    Conclusion: 2 months' supply of toilet paper, bacon, and coffee should do you just fine.
    I've been following the "worldometer" and that seems about right just form my amateur swag, or at least I hope so, but peak infection seems dependent on containment and early detection. There's the large population sample in China and a similar trend in Japan and S Korea, but Italy and Iran who have fewer medical resources or different containment procedures have not followed suit. I suspect your take is more accurate and with better information.

  10. #390
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    The first state to establish a Containment Zone was New York, designating the area within a 1-mile radius of the Young Israel Synagogue in New Rochelle, NY.
    According to news coverage, the rabbi and 108 members of the congregation have contracted COVID-19, and have been under voluntary quarantine since last week.

    In the Containment Zone large public gatherings are banned. People are allowed to go in and out of the area. Local shops are expected to remain open. The numerous public and private schools will be closed for cleaning. The National Guard will be deployed to support the containment. Mayor Noam Bramson explained to NPR that the National Guard will not be involved in military or policing functions, but will deliver food to residents and assist with cleaning.

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